

396 

FNUS54 KMRX 240709

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO 

THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK...BRINGING A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   62-67 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 10         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   60-65 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    92-97 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 12         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   60-65 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   89-94 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W  7         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    63-68 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   92-97 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.07         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    62-67 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   91-96 (+2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  7         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   62-67 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   93-98 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 10         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   63-68 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    95-100 (+4)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  8         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013 /209 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    64-69 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   95-100 (+5)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.09         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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