

174 

FNUS54 KMRX 210706

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS EACH 

DAY MAY BECOME STRONG...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY 

WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   59-64 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   86-91 (-9)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SE  5        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   57-62 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   84-89 (-12)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     E  5         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    58-63 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   85-90 (-8)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      NE  5        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    60-65 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   87-92 (-7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      E  5         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    58-63 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   90-95 (-5)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     E  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   59-64 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   84-89 (-12)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   61-66 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   86-91 (-9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013 /206 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   83-88 (-8)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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