

008 

FNUS54 KMRX 200738

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS EACH 

DAY MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF 

DAMAGING WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY 

RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   57-62 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     E  6         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   56-61 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    95-100 (+3)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     NE  7        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   56-61 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    93-98 (+2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     NE  6        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   59-64 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    92-97 (-1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      NE  6        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   57-62 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   93-98 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      NE  6        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    57-62 (-1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     E  6         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   59-64 (-1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   95-100 (+7)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

338 AM EDT THU JUN 20 2013 /238 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   61-66 (0)    86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   93-98 (+3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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