

231 

FNUS54 KMRX 180738

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...AND UPPER 

LEVEL DISTURBANCES...WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 

THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING 

AND AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE TONIGHT...WITH 

HIGH PRESSURE BRINGING DRY WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   56-61 (-6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   93-98 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.11         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     N  8         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   56-61 (-5)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   88-93 (-5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.24         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     N 10         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   57-62 (-3)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   82-87 (-11)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.19         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   58-63 (-4)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   92-97 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           10           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.16         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 14         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   59-64 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   87-92 (-10)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.95         0.19         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N 15         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   57-62 (-6)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   92-97 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         0.14         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N  8         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   59-64 (-5)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-6)   89-94 (-3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N  9         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 /238 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   61-66 (-3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   88-93 (-5)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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