

738 

FNUS54 KMRX 171901

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...AND UPPER 

LEVEL DISTURBANCES...WILL LEAD TO ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL THEN DECREASE FOR 

MID TO LATE WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AT LEAST BRIEFLY OVER THE 

REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   72-77 (-5)   57-62        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  64-69 (-3)   95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.66         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   71-76 (-4)   56-61        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  64-69 (+2)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.48         0.16         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   71-76 (-3)   58-63        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  64-69 (0)    92-97        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.56         0.29         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   74-79 (-3)   59-64        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  66-71 (0)    95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.46         0.24         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   74-79 (-3)   60-65        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  68-73 (-2)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.46         0.26         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   75-80 (-4)   59-64        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (+1)   92-97        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.69         0.15         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    76-81 (-4)   60-65        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  60-65 (-2)   89-94        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.71         0.20         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013 /201 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    77-82 (-4)   61-66        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-1)   88-93        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.42         0.26         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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