

471 

FNUS54 KMRX 150843

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS OUR WEATHER DRY TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT THE HEAT 

AND HUMIDITY ALSO RETURN. THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES LATE SUNDAY 

INTO MONDAY...AND BRINGS INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   57-62 (+7)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   91-96 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 22         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   57-62 (+8)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   88-93 (+4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 15         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   57-62 (+7)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   83-88 (+4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    58-63 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   91-96 (+8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   56-61 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   92-97 (+9)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      8400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   58-63 (+7)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   93-98 (+7)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   61-66 (+6)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   85-90 (+2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

443 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013 /343 AM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   62-67 (+5)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   87-92 (+4)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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