

934 

FNUS54 KMRX 130959

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 

TODAY...BRINGING A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.  SOME OF 

THESE STORMS MAY REACH STRONG TO SEVERE LEVELS. DRIER WEATHER AND 

COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BRIEFLY OCCUR ON FRIDAY...BEFORE HOT AND 

HUMID CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   54-59 (-11)  75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   91-96 (-4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  7 G17    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      N 18         

DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    53-58 (-10)  73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   90-95 (-4)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW  9 G22    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      N 20         

DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   55-60 (-8)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   88-93 (-5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW  8 G17    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      N 16         

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    58-63 (-8)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   89-94 (-5)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  6        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      N 17         

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   56-61 (-8)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   95-100 (0)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      N 16         

DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   55-60 (-10)  78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   89-94 (-5)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     NW  5 G15    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      N 15         

DISPERSION            125 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   57-62 (-11)  80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   87-92 (-6)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  6        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      N 14         

DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

559 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013 /459 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   60-65 (-8)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   83-88 (-12)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  6        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NE 15        

DISPERSION            119 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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