

427 

FNUS54 KMRX 121909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING AS A COLD FRONT 

APPROACHES THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH 

THE MORNING HOURS AHEAD OF A LINE OF STORMS. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME 

SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AS THE MAIN THREAT. SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LAST THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH DRIER 

WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FROM HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN FOR 

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   80-85 (-4)   55-60        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   49-54 (-5)   88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G22                 N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    W 12 G22     NW  8 G17    N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.55         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            2            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 43                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         134 VERY GOOD             62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   77-82 (-6)   54-59        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   46-51 (-6)   85-90        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G25                  NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     W 13 G24     NW  9 G22    NW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            5            2            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 43                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   78-83 (-4)   55-60        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   43-48 (-7)   82-87        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G26                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G20    W 11 G21     NW  8 G18    N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            2            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   83-88 (-4)   57-62        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   45-50 (-4)   84-89        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W 10 G18     N  7         N  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   84-89 (-2)   57-62        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   43-48 (-7)   83-88        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         NW  6        N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         160 VERY GOOD             40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   82-87 (-3)   55-60        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   46-51 (-8)   87-92        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G23                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 12 G23     NW  7 G19    N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.35         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            2            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         114 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   83-88 (-3)   57-62        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   46-51 (-7)   85-90        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G20                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    W 10 G20     N  7 G15     N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.38         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         107 VERY GOOD             36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013 /209 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   85-90 (-4)   59-64        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   45-50 (-4)   83-88        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G21                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 12 G21     N  7 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.32         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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