

665 

FNUS54 KMRX 111847

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION ON 

THURSDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS...WITH A FEW POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE. A BRIEF COOL 

DOWN WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS FRONT ON FRIDAY...BEFORE HOT AND HUMID 

CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   84-89 (+6)   64-69        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   42-47 (-4)   86-91        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 W 14 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    SW  9 G18    NW 10 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.03         0.73         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   83-88 (+6)   63-68        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   39-44 (-5)   85-90        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  W 16 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W 10 G18     SW  8 G19    W 12 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.02         0.41         

LAL                   2            3            2            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 33         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   84-89 (+6)   63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   35-40 (-11)  85-90        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 16 G31     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     SW 10 G24    W 12 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.34         

LAL                   1            3            2            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   86-91 (+4)   65-70        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   38-43 (-9)   85-90        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  8 G17    W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.19         

LAL                   1            3            2            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    86-91 (+3)   64-69        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   36-41 (-10)  85-90        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         SW  5        W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.02         0.18         

LAL                   1            3            2            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   86-91 (+5)   65-70        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   41-46 (-2)   86-91        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  W 14 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    SW  7 G16    W  9 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.02         0.53         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   86-91 (+3)   67-72        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    41-46 (-2)   84-89        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  8 G17    NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.33         

LAL                   1            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EDT TUE JUN 11 2013 /145 PM CDT TUE JUN 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   89-94 (+4)   68-73        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   38-43 (-6)   83-88        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  7        W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.12         

LAL                   1            2            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$







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