

152 

FNUS54 KMRX 101933

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT... 

BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRY CONDITIONS THEN 

RETURN ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   79-84 (+5)   60-65        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  39-44 (-20)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   4            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 

MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   74-79 (+2)   59-64        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   43-48 (-18)  90-95        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  9 G17     W  5         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   4            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH 

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 

10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   76-81 (+4)   61-66        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   40-45 (-18)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S 

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   82-87 (+6)   63-68        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   39-44 (-16)  89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   81-86 (+5)   61-66        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   39-44 (-17)  89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING 

TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   80-85 (+3)   62-67        87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   40-45 (-16)  89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   4            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   82-87 (+4)   64-69        87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   39-44 (-10)  90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   4            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

330 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013 /230 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   84-89 (+4)   66-71        88-93        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   40-45 (-6)   90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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