

175 

FNUS54 KMRX 100713

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA 

TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT.  DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR TUESDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   58-63 (-3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   57-62 (-4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   91-96 (+3)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.13         0.02         

LAL                   5            4            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   58-63 (-4)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   90-95 (+6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     SW  9 G21    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE       

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   60-65 (-4)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   95-100 (+10) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G17    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 15         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   60-65 (-3)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   95-100 (+13) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW  7 G16    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   59-64 (-3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   94-99 (+2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 13         

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   61-66 (-2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  91-96 (+1)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  7        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W  9         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013 /213 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   62-67 (-3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-12)  92-97 (+5)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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