

537 

FNUS54 KMRX 091818

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST 

INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS TROUGH ALONG WITH A 

GOOD RETURN OF GULF MOISTURE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL PRODUCE 

LIKELY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY.  SOME OF 

THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE TODAY 

THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   73-78 (-7)   58-63        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  62-67 (+11)  91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G17    SW  7        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.59         0.15         0.06         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   70-75 (-6)   57-62        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   60-65 (+7)   91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  9 G17     SW  7        W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.59         0.15         0.07         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-101930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   71-76 (-4)   60-65        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   54-59 (0)    83-88        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G17    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.50         0.21         0.06         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-101930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   75-80 (-5)   62-67        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   54-59 (-2)   85-90        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  8 G15    SW  7        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.44         0.25         0.07         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   75-80 (-5)   62-67        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   52-57 (-3)   86-91        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7        SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.50         0.25         0.07         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   75-80 (-5)   59-64        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  54-59 (+1)   92-97        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  9 G16    SW  6        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.53         0.16         0.06         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   76-81 (-5)   61-66        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   49-54 (-5)   89-94        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G16    SW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.42         0.24         0.05         

LAL                   3            5            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

218 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013 /118 PM CDT SUN JUN 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   78-83 (-2)   63-68        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   47-52 (-10)  85-90        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  8 G17    SW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.32         0.33         0.08         

LAL                   3            4            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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