

869 

FNUS54 KMRX 041908

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. 

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO 

THURSDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ON A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW 

OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT 

APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES MAY LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND AS 

THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES VERY SLOWLY EAST.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   77-82 (0)    59-64        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   49-54 (+4)   92-97        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.37         

LAL                   1            3            2            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 12         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 60.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   73-78 (-3)   57-62        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   53-58 (+6)   95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.03         0.36         

LAL                   1            3            2            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-052015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   75-80 (-1)   60-65        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (+5)   87-92        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.02         0.35         

LAL                   1            3            3            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-052015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   78-83 (-2)   63-68        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   52-57 (+10)  89-94        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.01         0.36         

LAL                   1            3            3            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SE 12        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-052015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   77-82 (-2)   60-65        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   52-57 (+10)  92-97        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.03         0.37         

LAL                   1            3            3            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   78-83 (-1)   60-65        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (+9)   95-100       57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.35         

LAL                   1            3            2            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SE 12        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   79-84 (-1)   64-69        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    51-56 (+10)  87-92        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.10         0.37         

LAL                   1            3            3            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

308 PM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013 /208 PM CDT TUE JUN 4 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   80-85 (-2)   64-69        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-8)   52-57 (+12)  93-98        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.09         0.44         

LAL                   1            3            3            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SE  9        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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