

160 

FNUS54 KMRX 040756

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING 

AROUND THE MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATER THIS 

WEEK...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION ON FRIDAY. AS A 

RESULT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH 

DAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   57-62 (+4)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  92-97 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   56-61 (+4)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  92-97 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S  7         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   57-62 (+6)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   92-97 (-1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   60-65 (+6)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   92-97 (-3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   59-64 (+6)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  91-96 (-5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S  8         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   58-63 (+4)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   90-95 (-3)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   60-65 (+6)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   90-95 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT TUE JUN 4 2013 /500 AM CDT TUE JUN 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   61-66 (+5)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   89-94 (-5)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S 10         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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