

328 

FNUS54 KMRX 310716

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA 

ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE 

TODAY...WITH THE COVERAGE OF STORMS INCREASING ON SATURDAY...AND 

ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   58-63 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   89-94 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  5         S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 18         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   57-62 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   89-94 (-4)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  8 G17     S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 18         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   57-62 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   88-93 (-3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G20     S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 18         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   60-65 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   87-92 (-3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     SE  8 G17    S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 21         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   59-64 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   88-93 (-5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 SE  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SE  7        S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 20         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   58-63 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   92-97 (-3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 17         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   61-66 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   87-92 (-3)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  5         S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 22         

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2013 /500 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   63-68 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   86-91 (-2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G16                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 23         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$







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