

978 

FNUS54 KMRX 271857

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL PUSH 

TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE WEEK.  ISOLATED TO 

SCATTERED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT AND 

TO A LESSER EXTENT ON TUESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 

INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   81-86 (+4)   56-61        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  35-40 (+1)   85-90        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   79-84 (+3)   54-59        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   35-40 (+1)   84-89        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   80-85 (+4)   55-60        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   31-36 (-5)   81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   84-89 (+4)   57-62        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+7)   32-37 (-3)   83-88        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   84-89 (+5)   56-61        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   30-35 (-6)   82-87        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            1            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   81-86 (+2)   56-61        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   36-41 (+1)   84-89        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   83-88 (+3)   59-64        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   35-40 (-1)   82-87        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

257 PM EDT MON MAY 27 2013 /157 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   84-89 (+2)   60-65        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+9)   34-39 (0)    81-86        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      S 20         

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             105 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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