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026 

FNUS54 KMRX 271502 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL PUSH 

TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE WEEK.  ISOLATED TO 

SCATTERED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TO A 

LESSER EXTENT ON TUESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE 

REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281615-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+9)   55-60 (+6)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   89-94 (+9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281615-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+13)  53-58 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   89-94 (+6)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281615-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   54-59 (+6)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   87-92 (+3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         S  5         SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281615-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   57-62 (+6)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   86-91 (+8)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 18         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281615-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   56-61 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   84-89 (+6)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 17         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   56-61 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   88-93 (+5)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281615-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   57-62 (+5)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   86-91 (+6)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               107 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281615-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1102 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2013 /1002 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   59-64 (+5)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   84-89 (+9)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 20         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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