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172 

FNUS54 KMRX 240206 AAA

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING ISOLATED SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL

THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  62-67 (-11)  35-40        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  32-37 (-20)  77-82        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 14 G24    N  7 G18     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   61-66 (-11)  34-39        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  33-38 (-18)  88-93        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 15 G27    NW  9 G24    NW  7 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   62-67 (-11)  34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  34-39 (-12)  85-90        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G22    N 13 G23     N  9 G19     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   66-71 (-10)  37-42        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  33-38 (-12)  93-98        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    N 13 G22     N  8 G18     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            10 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   66-71 (-10)  35-40        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  33-38 (-11)  95-100       24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G20    N 13 G22     N  7 G17     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            10 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  64-69 (-11)  35-40        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  33-38 (-16)  89-94        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 12 G21    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            3 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   65-70 (-11)  39-44        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  32-37 (-14)  83-88        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    N 11 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            10 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1006 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013 /906 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   69-74 (-10)  41-46        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-13)  30-35 (-13)  85-90        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    N 11 G19     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            10 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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