

237 

FNUS54 KMRX 231909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON 

SATURDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER 

AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH 

UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE MEMORIAL DAY 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  62-67 (-11)  35-40        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  32-37 (-20)  77-82        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 14 G24    N  7 G18     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   61-66 (-11)  34-39        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-16)  33-38 (-18)  88-93        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 15 G27    NW  9 G24    NW  7 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   62-67 (-11)  34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-16)  34-39 (-12)  85-90        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G22    N 13 G23     N  9 G19     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   66-71 (-10)  37-42        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  33-38 (-12)  93-98        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    N 13 G22     N  8 G18     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   66-71 (-10)  35-40        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-19)  33-38 (-11)  95-100       24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G20    N 13 G22     N  7 G17     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  64-69 (-11)  35-40        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-17)  33-38 (-16)  89-94        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW 12 G21    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   65-70 (-11)  39-44        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  32-37 (-14)  83-88        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G16    N 11 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE 

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013 /210 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   69-74 (-10)  41-46        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-19)  30-35 (-13)  85-90        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    N 11 G19     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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