

082 

FNUS54 KMRX 230719

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS TODAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN MOVE 

INTO THE REGION BY FRIDAY...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES 

EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-10)  47-52 (-10)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   95-100 (-1)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         NW  7 G16    N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 25         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   48-53 (-8)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   88-93 (-9)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  8 G17    NW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.02         

LAL                   4            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 28        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   50-55 (-6)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   84-89 (-12)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW  9 G24    N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 23         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   53-58 (-4)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   85-90 (-11)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  8 G21    N  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 23         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   52-57 (-4)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   86-91 (-11)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  8 G19    N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 24         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-7)   50-55 (-8)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   89-94 (-8)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  6 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 21         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-7)   52-57 (-6)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   80-85 (-14)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  6 G18    N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 21         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013 /219 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   54-59 (-5)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   78-83 (-18)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G20     NW  7 G19    N  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 21         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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