

619 

FNUS54 KMRX 220725

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY PRODUCING 

WIDESPREAD MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE 

STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA 

THURSDAY CONTINUING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH 

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FOR 

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   58-63 (-1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   87-92 (+1)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.26         0.21         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 18         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   57-62 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   86-91 (-2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6         W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.28         0.21         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 21         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   56-61 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   86-91 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    S  6         W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.26         0.17         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 24         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   59-64 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   84-89 (0)    39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.21         0.11         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 21         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-7)   58-63 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   84-89 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G16     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.25         0.10         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 21         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   58-63 (-2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   87-92 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.25         0.16         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 20         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   59-64 (-2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   86-91 (+2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.18         0.12         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 22         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013 /225 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   59-64 (-3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   84-89 (+1)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8                     W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.12         0.03         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 21         

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













