

980 

FNUS54 KMRX 211908

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD 

FRONT...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 

WEDNESDAY...AND LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN 

ON FRIDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   79-84 (-3)   57-62        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   45-50 (-2)   90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9         SW  6 G16    W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.23         0.14         

LAL                   3            4            4            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   77-82 (-2)   56-61        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   46-51 (-2)   90-95        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  8 G17     S  7 G15     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.22         0.06         

LAL                   3            3            4            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   76-81 (-3)   56-61        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   48-53 (-3)   88-93        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G18    S  7 G15     W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.20         0.05         

LAL                   3            4            4            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   78-83 (-6)   60-65        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  47-52 (0)    86-91        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.19         0.04         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   77-82 (-7)   59-64        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   49-54 (+2)   84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.18         0.03         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      8400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               118 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   80-85 (-3)   58-63        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   46-51 (-2)   90-95        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  5        W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.22         0.09         

LAL                   3            4            4            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    80-85 (-4)   59-64        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  47-52 (-2)   87-92        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  7 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  5        W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.13         0.11         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

308 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /208 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    80-85 (-4)   60-65        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   47-52 (-2)   83-88        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     W  6 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.04         0.07         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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