

058 

FNUS54 KMRX 210706

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP 

TODAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES REACH THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE 

AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON 

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   59-64 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  88-93 (-4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.12         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   57-62 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  89-94 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.09         0.19         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   57-62 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-15)  88-93 (-7)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.10         0.16         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   60-65 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   87-92 (-8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.13         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 18         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   58-63 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  89-94 (-8)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 15         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   59-64 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   91-96 (-5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   62-67 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   86-91 (-9)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /206 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   61-66 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   90-95 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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