

860 

FNUS54 KMRX 200715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING.. 

BUT MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN. THE UNSTABLE AIR WILL 

CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY 

AND TUESDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.



ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA WEDNESDAY PRODUCING LIKELY 

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY 

ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   58-63 (0)    80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-15)  94-99 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   56-61 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  93-98 (+2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   56-61 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-19)  89-94 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   58-63 (-1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-16)  95-100 (-1)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   1            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+4)   55-60 (-3)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-16)  95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  9         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   58-63 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-17)  94-99 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.10         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   61-66 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-21)  89-94 (-2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013 /215 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   61-66 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-20)  92-97 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













