

684 

FNUS54 KMRX 181402 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND...PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS 

WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES 

REMAINING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   56-61 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+13)  95-100 (-2)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.13         0.45         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   56-61 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+12)  93-98 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  5         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.21         0.49         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   56-61 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+9)   93-98 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.21         0.28         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-191500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   58-63 (0)    75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   94-99 (+1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.19         0.30         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   57-62 (0)    74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   94-99 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.22         0.30         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   57-62 (-1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+12)  94-99 (0)    54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.17         0.38         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   59-64 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   94-99 (0)    54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.13         0.22         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1000 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013 /900 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   60-65 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   94-99 (-1)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.14         0.26         

LAL                   5            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. LIGHT WINDS.



$$







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