

306 

FNUS54 KMRX 170700

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 

OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY PRODUCING PERIODS OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES WILL STAY AT 

OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    55-60 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   93-98 (0)    51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.08         0.37         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S 14         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   53-58 (+3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    91-96 (-1)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.11         0.42         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S 15         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   55-60 (+6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   84-89 (-2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.21         0.49         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 20         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   57-62 (+6)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    92-97 (+2)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.33         0.58         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 20         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   56-61 (+6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    91-96 (-1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.24         0.66         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S 20         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   56-61 (+3)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    88-93 (-2)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.11         0.40         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     S 13         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   59-64 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   87-92 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.32         0.43         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 16         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013 /200 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   59-64 (+4)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   89-94 (-1)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.59         0.43         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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