

877 

FNUS54 KMRX 140731

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL LEAD TO A

WARMING TREND. TEMPERATURES WILL STAY AT OR JUST ABOVE SEASONAL

NORMALS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+12)  50-55 (+15)  80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-6)   90-95 (+16)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  7 G15    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 25         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  49-54 (+15)  76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   85-90 (+12)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         SW  6 G17    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 25         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+10)  49-54 (+15)  75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-7)   84-89 (+11)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         SW 10 G22    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 21         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+9)   49-54 (+14)  80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    95-100 (+18) 31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  8 G17    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 17         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+8)   46-51 (+13)  80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   95-100 (+13) 31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 18         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+12)  51-56 (+16)  80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   89-94 (+11)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  6        W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 23         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+11)  54-59 (+15)  81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    85-90 (+13)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G16                  SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  7 G15    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 21         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013 /231 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+9)   53-58 (+14)  82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   89-94 (+9)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  7 G15    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 18         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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