

007 

FNUS54 KMRX 121911

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH NEAR RECORD LOWS TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A 

FRONTAL PASSAGE. PATCHY FROST IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING 

THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HIGHER PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN ON MONDAY 

BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN 

NORMAL. A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH MIDWEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-14)  56-61 (+1)   35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   26-31 (-8)   83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  55-60 (+2)   33-38        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   25-30 (-9)   79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW 11 G20    W  6 G16     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  57-62 (+2)   34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-8)   20-25 (-10)  75-80        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  9 G16    W  5         SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  62-67 (+1)   35-40        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-17)  23-28 (-7)   85-90        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  63-68 (+1)   33-38        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-18)  20-25 (-9)   88-93        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  60-65 (+1)   35-40        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   23-28 (-7)   86-91        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  63-68 (+2)   39-44        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  22-27 (-3)   81-86        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

311 PM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013 /211 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  64-69 (0)    40-45        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   22-27 (-1)   90-95        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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