

582 

FNUS54 KMRX 120715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRIER AND COOLER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION TODAY BEHIND PASSAGE OF A 

COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL 

TODAY AND TONIGHT...LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY OF AREAS OF FROST OVER

SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON

MONDAY NIGHT. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-10)  31-36 (-14)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-33)  81-86 (-4)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  7 G17    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 17         

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-12)  30-35 (-14)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-30)  82-87 (-1)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 NW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  9 G19    NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-9)   31-36 (-13)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-29)  80-85 (+3)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 NW  6 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  7 G16    NW 10 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   33-38 (-12)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-32)  87-92 (+3)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10        NW  7 G15    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   32-37 (-12)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-30)  87-92 (+7)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 NW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  8 G16    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   32-37 (-14)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-29)  84-89 (-1)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  5        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   33-38 (-13)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-31)  81-86 (0)    24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT SUN MAY 12 2013 /215 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   35-40 (-12)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-33)  83-88 (+5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  7 G15    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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