

901 

FNUS54 KMRX 111904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

OVERNIGHT. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE BUT MOST AREAS WILL STAY 

DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TOMORROW AS 

COLDER AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE FRONT. OTHERWISE...DRIER AND CLEARER 

CONDITIONS RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH AREAS OF FROST POSSIBLE 

FOR BOTH NIGHTS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST 

TENNESSEE.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-12)  54-59 (-11)  32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   30-35 (-33)  79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  9 G17     NW  5        NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  52-57 (-13)  31-36        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   29-34 (-30)  79-84        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 NW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 12 G22    NW  8 G16    NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   54-59 (-10)  32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   27-32 (-32)  78-83        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G22                 NW  5 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G21    NW  6 G15    NW 10 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   59-64 (-9)   33-38        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   26-31 (-34)  87-92        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    NW  5        NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   60-65 (-8)   32-37        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   25-30 (-33)  87-92        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 NW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  5        NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  58-63 (-10)  33-38        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   25-30 (-31)  82-87        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-11)  60-65 (-8)   34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   23-28 (-32)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013 /204 PM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-11)  61-66 (-8)   35-40        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   26-31 (-31)  83-88        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW 10 G18    NW  5        NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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