

157 

FNUS54 KMRX 110719

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS 

AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF 

THE COLD FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING FOR THE REST OF THE 

WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE 

EXPECTED FOR BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH AREAS OF FROST POSSIBLE 

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST 

TENNESSEE.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-8)   43-48 (-13)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   86-91 (-5)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  6         W 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-5)   43-48 (-11)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   86-91 (-5)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  8 G17     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   44-49 (-8)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   82-87 (-6)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  7 G19     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   46-51 (-7)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   92-97 (+1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   45-50 (-7)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   91-96 (+2)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-6)   45-50 (-11)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   87-92 (-4)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5         W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   46-51 (-11)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   82-87 (-6)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013 /219 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   48-53 (-10)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   81-86 (-6)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













