

140 

FNUS54 KMRX 101843

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS...BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. DRY CONDITIONS...WITH COOLER THAN NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   65-70 (-8)   44-49        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   54-59 (+3)   84-89        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.12         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   65-70 (-5)   43-48        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   53-58 (-3)   84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  7 G16     W  5         NW 13 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.13         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   64-69 (-3)   44-49        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   53-58 (-4)   88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     NW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     W  7         W  5         NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.11         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   67-72 (-3)   46-51        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   57-62 (+1)   85-90        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.08         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   68-73 (-1)   46-51        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   52-57 (-5)   90-95        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.15         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   81 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   68-73 (-6)   45-50        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (0)    82-87        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.10         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    68-73 (-4)   46-51        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   51-56 (-5)   83-88        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

243 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013 /143 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   68-73 (-4)   48-53        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   56-61 (+1)   82-87        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  6         NW  5        NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   107 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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