

501 

FNUS54 KMRX 100646

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS...BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR 

SUNDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY NEXT WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   54-59 (+2)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   90-95 (+2)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    SW 11 G23    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.28         0.07         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 25         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   99 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    52-57 (+4)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   90-95 (+4)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    SW 10 G21    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.08         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 28         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   53-58 (+2)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   86-91 (+5)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW 11 G28    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.13         0.08         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 26         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   55-60 (+3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   90-95 (+10)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     SW  9 G23    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.14         0.06         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 23         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   55-60 (+6)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   89-94 (+6)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     SW  9 G20    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.06         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 23         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   54-59 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   92-97 (+10)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    SW  9 G20    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.22         0.06         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 26         

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   57-62 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   84-89 (+4)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW 10 G21    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.28         0.04         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 24         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   99 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

246 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013 /146 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   58-63 (+2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   84-89 (+1)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    SW  9 G19    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.20         0.03         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 22         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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