

017 

FNUS54 KMRX 091833

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE EARLY FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES 

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FROM THE WEST. CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND PERSIST THROUGH 

SATURDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE 

EARLY WORKWEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   73-78 (+2)   54-59        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   46-51 (0)    90-95        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  5        W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.29         0.23         

LAL                   1            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   70-75 (0)    52-57        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   48-53 (+5)   88-93        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.10         0.28         

LAL                   1            4            4            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-101945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   68-73 (-4)   53-58        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  46-51 (+4)   87-92        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    SW  7 G15    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         0.28         

LAL                   1            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-101945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   71-76 (-4)   55-60        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  45-50 (+4)   88-93        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    S  7 G15     W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.15         0.30         

LAL                   1            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   71-76 (-4)   55-60        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   45-50 (+3)   88-93        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.09         0.31         

LAL                   1            4            4            4            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   73-78 (0)    54-59        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  48-53 (+3)   90-95        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.23         0.26         

LAL                   1            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   72-77 (-4)   56-61        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  48-53 (+4)   87-92        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  5        W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.34         0.19         

LAL                   1            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

233 PM EDT THU MAY 9 2013 /133 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   72-77 (-5)   57-62        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  48-53 (+5)   88-93        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        S  6         W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.19         0.22         0.20         

LAL                   3            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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