

301 

FNUS54 KMRX 090824

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS 

AFTERNOON...THOUGH MOST LOCATION SHOULD REMAIN DRY.   A COLD FRONT 

WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON 

FRIDAY...BRINGING A SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE AREA FOR 

FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   51-56 (+4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-17)  95-100 (-1)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.08         

LAL                   2            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   49-54 (+4)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  92-97 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+7)   52-57 (+6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  85-90 (-7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   54-59 (+6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  86-91 (-6)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   2            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      S 22         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   53-58 (+5)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   88-93 (-6)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   53-58 (+5)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  89-94 (-7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+7)   55-60 (+6)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  86-91 (-7)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.13         

LAL                   2            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 24        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

424 AM EDT THU MAY 9 2013 /324 AM CDT THU MAY 9 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   56-61 (+6)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  88-93 (-3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.19         

LAL                   2            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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