

184 

FNUS54 KMRX 081814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...AS THE AREA OF LOW 

PRESSURE THAT HAS DELIVERED RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE PAST 

FEW DAYS...FINALLY MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. A COOL THURSDAY 

MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO DRY...AND WARM CONDITIONS BY THE AFTERNOON. 

THIS BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE BRIEF AS A COLD FRONT 

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY...DELIVERING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH 

SATURDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   73-78 (+9)   51-56        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  38-43 (-21)  93-98        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   1            2            2            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    70-75 (+6)   50-55        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  39-44 (-15)  89-94        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            2            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-091915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   70-75 (+5)   52-57        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    38-43 (-16)  83-88        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            2            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-091915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   75-80 (+6)   54-59        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   36-41 (-15)  87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            2            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-091915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   76-81 (+7)   54-59        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  35-40 (-14)  88-93        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            2            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   75-80 (+8)   52-57        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  36-41 (-19)  88-93        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            2            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    76-81 (+7)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  35-40 (-19)  85-90        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 25        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

214 PM EDT WED MAY 8 2013 /114 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    77-82 (+6)   57-62        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   35-40 (-16)  86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            3            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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