

918 

FNUS54 KMRX 080840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHWARD 

AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE 

US WITH ONE MORE DAY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY AND 

SATURDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   48-53 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   95-100 (0)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 12         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   46-51 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   93-98 (+1)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            2            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-090945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   47-52 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   91-96 (0)    37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-090945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   49-54 (+3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    91-96 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-090945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   49-54 (+5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   93-98 (-3)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   49-54 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   95-100 (0)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 10         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   50-55 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   91-96 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  9         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

440 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013 /340 AM CDT WED MAY 8 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+4)   51-56 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   90-95 (+3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W  9         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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