

792 

FNUS54 KMRX 071914

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL DRIFT 

NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION. HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE 

TO BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL 

INCREASE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE 

REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   66-71 (+4)   48-53        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   47-52 (-8)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.25         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 10         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   65-70 (+5)   46-51        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  45-50 (-8)   94-99        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.38         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   66-71 (+5)   47-52        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   44-49 (-6)   88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.21         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   69-74 (+5)   48-53        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-9)   43-48 (-5)   93-98        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   68-73 (+5)   47-52        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  42-47 (-6)   93-98        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   68-73 (+5)   48-53        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   45-50 (-7)   95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.28         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN 

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   70-75 (+5)   50-55        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   44-49 (-6)   90-95        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.14         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013 /215 PM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   72-77 (+5)   51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   44-49 (-4)   92-97        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.  

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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