

499 

FNUS54 KMRX 071413 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD 

MIGRATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGHOUT 

THE WEEK...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A 

COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081445-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   46-51 (+2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   93-98 (-4)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.10         0.14         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     W  9         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 

NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081445-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   45-50 (+5)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-9)   91-96 (-5)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.12         0.20         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W 16         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-081445-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   45-50 (+6)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  89-94 (-3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.13         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W 20         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-081445-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   46-51 (+8)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  90-95 (-5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W 16         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-081445-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   45-50 (+5)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-15)  91-96 (-5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 17         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 

NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   47-52 (+4)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   93-98 (-4)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.09         0.16         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W 16         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   48-53 (+7)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   92-97 (-4)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 16         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081445-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1015 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013 /915 AM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   48-53 (+7)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-12)  92-97 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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