

088 

FNUS54 KMRX 061440 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD 

MIGRATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. FOR TODAY AND 

TUESDAY...RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOWER THAN THE WEEKEND...BUT 

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+7)   43-48 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-12)  93-98 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.04         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     NE  5        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   41-46 (-3)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-10)  87-92 (-8)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.06         0.28         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     N  5         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   41-46 (+2)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-23)  85-90 (-11)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N  8         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   41-46 (0)    64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-21)  87-92 (-8)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      N 10         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   41-46 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-17)  91-96 (-4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      N  8         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   41-46 (-4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-16)  90-95 (-6)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.02         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     N  5         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   42-47 (-2)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-25)  86-91 (-9)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      N  7         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1040 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 /940 AM CDT MON MAY 6 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    42-47 (-1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-11)  90-95 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      N  8         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













