

633 

FNUS54 KMRX 050729

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD 

MIGRATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   48-53 (+3)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+9)   89-94 (+9)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 13 G25                  E  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 13 G24     E 13 G26     E  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       7            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.24         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 37                     SE 24        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   46-51 (+2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+8)   88-93 (+8)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 18 G33                 SE  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 17 G33     SE 16 G35    SE  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.54         0.64         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 45                     SE 24        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   44-49 (0)    58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+11)  87-92 (-6)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G29                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G25    SE  7 G18    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.06         0.59         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 29                     SE  8        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   45-50 (+1)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   91-96 (-6)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.36         0.11         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   44-49 (0)    59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+12)  92-97 (-5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.05         0.40         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     S  7         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   48-53 (+2)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   90-95 (+3)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 12 G24                  E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G22     E 10 G23     E  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.41         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 35                     SE 16        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   47-52 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  87-92 (-5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        E  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.40         0.14         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 16                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

329 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013 /229 AM CDT SUN MAY 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   45-50 (+1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  88-93 (-8)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.31         0.10         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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