

429 

FNUS54 KMRX 040709

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-5)   44-49 (-4)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  84-89 (+10)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G23                 E 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    E  9 G17     E 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 30                     SE 41        

DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   44-49 (-4)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  89-94 (+15)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 15 G29                 SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 15 G28     E 12 G23     E 15 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.18         0.42         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 40                     SE 49        

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   46-51 (-2)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+11)  88-93 (+8)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G29                 SE  9 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 13 G29     E 10 G26     SE  6 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.39         0.81         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 32                     SE 37        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-9)   47-52 (-3)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+10)  93-98 (+6)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 13 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 12 G25    E  9 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.81         1.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 28                     SE 21        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-6)   48-53 (-1)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+11)  93-98 (+5)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 13 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 13 G24    E  9 G19     SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.83         1.30         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 36                     SE 26        

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   45-50 (-6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+14)  88-93 (+10)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 12 G22                  E  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G22     E  7 G16     E 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.15         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 32                     SE 41        

DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-12)  46-51 (-7)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  88-93 (+7)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G19                  E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G19    NE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.50         0.59         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     SE 20        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 /209 AM CDT SAT MAY 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-13)  46-51 (-6)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+10)  88-93 (+5)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G19    NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.05         1.42         0.51         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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