

611 

FNUS54 KMRX 030733

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO 

PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION FOR MUCH OF TODAY.  A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM WILL DRIFT TOWARDS THE EASTERN TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY...WITH 

INCREASING SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   43-48 (-7)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  77-82 (0)    33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 SE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G19    SE 10 G18    SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     SE 24        

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   43-48 (-6)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  77-82 (-2)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G20                 SE  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 12 G23     SE 14 G27    SE  8 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 28                     SE 31        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   46-51 (-2)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   76-81 (0)    44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G22                 SE  8 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 13 G25     SE 11 G25    SE  9 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 30                     SE 29        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   49-54 (-2)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   81-86 (+1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G23                 E  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 14 G24     SE 12 G22    E  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 32                     SE 33        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   50-55 (0)    57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   82-87 (+3)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G21                 E  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 14 G25     SE 11 G21    E  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.20         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 36                     SE 35        

DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   45-50 (-6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   79-84 (+2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G19                  SE  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G17     E  9 G16     SE  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     SE 25        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   48-53 (-4)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   78-83 (0)    44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G16                  E  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G18     E  8 G15     E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     SE 24        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

333 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 /233 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   49-54 (-3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   82-87 (+3)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E 10 G22                  E 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 12 G24     E  9 G18     E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.39         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 29                     SE 22        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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