

229 

FNUS54 KMRX 021848

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO 

PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.  THEN...A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT TOWARDS THE EASTERN TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY LATE FRIDAY...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH 

MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    68-73 (-1)   44-49        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   34-39 (-12)  76-81        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 12 G22    SE 10 G20    SE  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 24                     SE 22        

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   64-69 (-3)   43-48        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   34-39 (-10)  81-86        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G24                 SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 14 G27    SE 11 G22    SE  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 28                     SE 24        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   63-68 (-3)   45-50        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   39-44 (-8)   81-86        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G23                 SE 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 13 G26    E 10 G20     SE  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 29                     SE 24        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   64-69 (-5)   47-52        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   46-51 (-6)   86-91        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G22                 SE 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 13 G24    E 11 G23     SE 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21         0.34         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 31                     SE 23        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   64-69 (-5)   46-51        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   47-52 (-4)   86-91        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E 10 G22                  SE 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E 13 G24     E 12 G23     SE 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 32                     SE 25        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   68-73 (-4)   45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   35-40 (-7)   77-82        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G18                  SE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E 10 G18     E  9 G16     E  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     SE 24        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   67-72 (-5)   48-53        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   40-45 (-5)   85-90        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G15                  SE  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  8 G16     E  7         E  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.27         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     SE 22        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

248 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013 /148 PM CDT THU MAY 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   65-70 (-7)   49-54        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   49-54 (+1)   85-90        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 10 G19    E 10 G21     S  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.35         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 30                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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