

015 

FNUS54 KMRX 020701

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO 

PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH FRIDAY.  A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT 

TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT 

WEEK...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM 

SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   47-52 (-1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   80-85 (-10)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G17                 SE 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE  7 G15    SE 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     SE 23        

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   47-52 (-1)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    79-84 (-9)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE 12 G23    SE 14 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 24                     SE 28        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   49-54 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   82-87 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 SE 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    SE 12 G29    SE 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     SE 25        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING

TO 10 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   51-56 (+1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   84-89 (0)    47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G16    SE 10 G24    SE 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     SE 28        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   50-55 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   85-90 (0)    46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G18                 SE 14 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G18    SE 11 G22    SE 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     SE 29        

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 20 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   49-54 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    81-86 (-10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 SE 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE  8 G16    SE 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     SE 23        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   52-57 (+1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   83-88 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        SE 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SE 20        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013 /201 AM CDT THU MAY 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   52-57 (0)    66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    86-91 (0)    49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6 G15    SE  9 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SE 26        

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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