

348 

FNUS54 KMRX 011849

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO 

PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH FRIDAY.  THEN...A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

WILL DRIFT TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THIS 

WEEKEND...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A 

THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   70-75 (-4)   47-52        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   38-43 (0)    87-92        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE 21        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   68-73 (-1)   46-51        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   40-45 (-1)   84-89        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8                     SE  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  9        SE  8 G16    SE 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     SE 22        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   68-73 (0)    48-53        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   38-43 (-5)   84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  9 G17    SE  8 G19    SE 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE 20        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   71-76 (-3)   50-55        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   41-46 (+1)   92-97        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 SE 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  9 G18    SE  7 G15    SE 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     SE 23        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   71-76 (-1)   49-54        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   40-45 (-1)   91-96        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G18                 SE 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE 11 G18    SE  7        SE 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     SE 23        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   72-77 (-2)   48-53        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   38-43 (0)    89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  8        LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE 21        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   73-78 (-3)   50-55        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   38-43 (-1)   89-94        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE 18        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

249 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013 /149 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   72-77 (-3)   51-56        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   42-47 (+1)   89-94        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G15                  SE 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SE 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE 23        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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