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464 

FNUS54 KMRX 011402 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS PRODUCING A WARM AND DRY AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION 

THROUGH FRIDAY.  A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT 

TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND INCREASING THE 

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM FOR SATURDAY THROUGH 

MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   48-53 (-2)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   84-89 (-8)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8         E  8 G16     SE 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SE 18        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   47-52 (-2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   84-89 (-2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9         E 11 G24     SE 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      SE 23        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   47-52 (-3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   83-88 (0)    42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         SE 10 G25    SE  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      SE 18        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   49-54 (-3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   87-92 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7 G17    SE 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      SE 23        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   47-52 (-3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   89-94 (+3)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7                      SE 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  8 G16    SE 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      SE 24        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               113 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   47-52 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   87-92 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7                      SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7         E  7 G15     SE 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SE 20        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    50-55 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   84-89 (-5)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  7 G15     SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SE 14        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1002 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013 /902 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   52-57 (-2)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   84-89 (-1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     E  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         SE  5        SE  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SE 21        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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