

804 

FNUS54 KMRX 301917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THIS WEEK WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY AROUND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A SLOW 

MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN DRIFT TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE 

RIVER VALLEY BY THE WEEKEND BRINGING A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   72-77 (-1)   49-54        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   35-40 (-6)   81-86        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         E  6         SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      SE 16        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   66-71 (-6)   48-53        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   40-45 (-3)   81-86        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7        SE  8 G15    SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            11 PM                                  CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      SE 20        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   68-73 (-4)   48-53        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  38-43 (-3)   82-87        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SE 14        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   74-79 (0)    51-56        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   37-42 (-3)   85-90        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SE 16        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   71-76 (-3)   49-54        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   40-45 (-2)   86-91        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 14                      SE 17        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    74-79 (-1)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   34-39 (-5)   84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         E  6         SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      SE 18        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   76-81 (0)    51-56        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   34-39 (-3)   84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

317 PM EDT TUE APR 30 2013 /217 PM CDT TUE APR 30 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   76-81 (-1)   53-58        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   36-41 (-1)   82-87        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SE 15        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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