

153 

FNUS54 KMRX 290732

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THIS WEEK...WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

POSSIBLE EACH DAY. A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN DRIFT 

TOWARDS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY BY LATE IN WEEK...BRINGING A 

BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+13)  48-53 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-30)  93-98 (0)    35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+14)  47-52 (0)    71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-31)  93-98 (-1)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      E  6         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+14)  47-52 (0)    71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-31)  93-98 (0)    35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S  6         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+14)  49-54 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-33)  93-98 (-2)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+14)  46-51 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-35)  92-97 (-4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+15)  49-54 (0)    75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-31)  93-98 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+13)  50-55 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-31)  93-98 (-2)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      S  6         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013 /500 AM CDT MON APR 29 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+13)  51-56 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-29)  93-98 (-2)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      S  6         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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