

513 

FNUS54 KMRX 281540 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION. A COLD FRONT PASSES SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION

TONIGHT. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY ON

MONDAY...THEN MORE SO ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES INCREASE

AGAIN FOR MID TO LATE WEEK AS A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS SETTLES OVER

THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   49-54 (+1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+19)  95-100 (+2)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.12         0.13         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   48-53 (+1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+13)  95-100 (+2)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G28                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S  6 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.20         0.19         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 12         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   47-52 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+7)   95-100 (+1)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G30                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S  8 G22     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.13         0.17         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 13         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   49-54 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   95-100 (-1)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  7 G17     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.12         0.16         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 12         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   48-53 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    95-100 (0)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.12         0.18         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 12         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   50-55 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+10)  95-100 (+1)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.13         0.13         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 12         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   50-55 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   95-100 (-2)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.13         0.08         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W  9         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1140 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013 /1040 AM CDT SUN APR 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   52-57 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   93-98 (-4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.10         0.08         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W  9         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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